Nickel 28 Capital Corp.
Suite 5300, TD Bank Tower,
Box 48, 66 Wellington Street West, Toronto, ON M5K 1E6
info@nickel28.com
About Cobalt
A Strategic Companion Metal in the Clean Energy Transition
Cobalt is indispensable in lithium-ion batteries, high-strength alloys, aerospace, and electronics. While primarily a by-product of copper and nickel mining, its strategic role in EVs and energy storage continues to grow.
Global Market Overview
- 2025 Production Forecast: 250–260 kt (vs. 230 kt in 2023)
- 2025 Demand Projection: +11% YoY growth, continuing through the year
- 2025 Surplus: ~21–28 kt (down from ~53 kt in 2024)
- 2030 Demand Outlook: Cobalt market size projected to grow at ~6.7% CAGR (US $17 b in 2024 → US$26 b by 2030)
- Top Producer: Democratic Republic of Congo at >80% of global output; Indonesia is the fast‑growing #2 at 6–7%
Geopolitical & Supply Notes:
- The DRC produces ~75–80% of global cobalt
- Cobalt is mainly a by-product from copper and nickel mines
- China's CMOC and Indonesian nickel expansions have fuelled oversupply
Price & Market Risk
- Prices plunged from ~US$82 k/t (April 2022) to ~US$21.5 k/t — lowest since LME began in 2010
- A temporary DRC export ban pushed a 50% price rebound to US$35 k/t
Battery & Tech Trends
- Strong EV demand is driving 11% cobalt demand growth in 2025
- Shift toward LFP chemistry in China may limit future cobalt intensity
- Despite this, cobalt remains vital for high-energy NMC chemistries in Western EVs
